Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.333879 0.388498 0.448843 0.520407 0.602910 0.694993 0.805521
2025-04-06 0.233284 0.303461 0.389521 0.502578 0.646955 0.824917 1.060704
2025-04-13 0.178915 0.252315 0.349357 0.486554 0.675001 0.924186 1.278108
2025-04-20 0.149555 0.225293 0.331751 0.491487 0.724169 1.049685 1.538432
2025-04-27 0.133927 0.213534 0.331468 0.517659 0.802788 1.221197 1.879609
2025-05-04 0.119158 0.199989 0.325542 0.533038 0.865342 1.374206 2.209104
2025-05-11 0.105169 0.185084 0.314759 0.538270 0.911220 1.505002 2.517009
2025-05-18 0.092266 0.169760 0.300750 0.535561 0.942611 1.614502 2.800657
2025-05-25 0.080792 0.155044 0.285496 0.528153 0.964172 1.708654 3.066949
2025-06-01 0.071672 0.143136 0.273353 0.524166 0.990295 1.811832 3.357587
2025-06-08 0.062136 0.129003 0.255241 0.506748 0.989656 1.867205 3.568034
2025-06-15 0.060096 0.129151 0.263686 0.539868 1.085656 2.104589 4.131644
2025-06-22 0.052615 0.117409 0.248040 0.525068 1.089887 2.175536 4.396979
2025-06-29 0.045848 0.106198 0.232061 0.507688 1.087195 2.233447 4.644568
2025-07-06 0.040138 0.096400 0.217649 0.491539 1.084717 2.290792 4.895920
2025-07-13 0.036923 0.091719 0.213469 0.496522 1.126606 2.440755 5.349618
2025-07-20 0.035669 0.091413 0.218807 0.522953 1.217304 2.699750 6.055567
2025-07-27 0.033707 0.089112 0.219321 0.538482 1.285554 2.917825 6.695458
2025-08-03 0.031255 0.085224 0.215639 0.543766 1.331074 3.090989 7.253975
2025-08-10 0.028579 0.080355 0.208967 0.541031 1.357492 3.224097 7.735360
2025-08-17 0.025925 0.075143 0.200780 0.533550 1.371694 3.330757 8.166519
2025-08-24 0.023726 0.070831 0.194303 0.529524 1.393740 3.457377 8.656036
2025-08-31 0.021119 0.064981 0.183093 0.511933 1.379994 3.498204 8.945467